The relationship between the stock market and the real economy

On January 5, 2013, in English, Print, by

I discuss the relation between the stock market and the real economy. In particular, I discuss two empirical findings: First, stock volatility is time varying and dependent on the state of the real economy. Second, macroeconomic volatility is a weak predictor of financial volatility while it is the opposite that holds strongly.

Why is there a rate of interest?

On November 20, 2012, in English, Print, by

The problem of interest is that of valuation of the services of goods–capital goods, commodities and financial assets–through time periods.

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Growing from within

On September 24, 2012, in English, Print, by

Let us think together about a problem of economic growth. In so doing let us reduce the problem into its smallest constituents.

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Creating a durable economy

On August 23, 2012, in English, Print, by

“Institutions form the incentive structure of a society, and the political and economic institutions, in consequence, are the underlying determinants of economic performance.”

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Unlocking an economy: Can we dare to dream? – Part III

On March 16, 2012, in English, Print, by

I do not wish to discuss the challenges of investing in Tanzania or more politically inclined challenges. I, however, wish to discuss why investment makes sense.

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“Why I Am Leaving Goldman Sachs”

On March 16, 2012, in English, Print, by

Greg Smith, from South Africa is leaving Goldman Sachs, a large multinational banking and securities firm, as the firm’s executive director and head of the firm’s US equity derivatives business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

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About the World Bank Presidency

On March 3, 2012, in English, Print, by

The World Bank’s main goal is to help reduce poverty in the world. This article gives an overview of what is going on with regards to this year’s selection of a new president of the bank.

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Modern Monetary Theory

On February 22, 2012, in English, Print, by

“I would much rather turn my country over to gold-standard crackpots than to MMT crackpots”

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Aspiration of a Nation

On December 9, 2011, in English, Print, by

I want to celebrate Tanzania’s fiftieth birthday, not by the number of years of our independence, but by the values we can identify with, the opportunities we have created for our people and by the level of economic and social freedoms our people enjoy and by the absence of discontinuity of these freedoms with passage of time.

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Unlocking an economy: Can we dare to dream? – Part II

On November 10, 2011, in English, Print, by

I look at the inputs and outputs of the Tanzanian economy in an attempt to contemplate on what has become of it.

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